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Non-invasive fetal sex tests reliable from 7 weeks

Analysis of a study published in a science journal   |   By Dr Philippa Brice   |   Published 11 August 2011
Study: Noninvasive Fetal Sex Determination Using Cell-Free Fetal DNA
By: Devaney S.A. et al. (4 authors total)
In: Journal of the American Medical Association
Link: http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1001/jama.2011.1111
What this study set out to do:

Examine how reliably it was possible to predict fetal sex by non-invasive prenatal testing using cell-free fetal DNA, and identify factors that affect test performance. 

How they went about it:

A systematic review of the published literature was carried out followed by meta-analysis of results from a total of 57 studies comprising a total of 3524 pregnancies with male fetuses and 3017 pregnancies with female fetuses. 

Outcome:

Overall, the ability of the test to detect the presence of Y-chromosome sequences (ie. a male fetus) had a sensitivity of 95.4% and a specificity of 98.6%, though figures varied considerably between studies. The most important factors in affecting test performance were the method used for the DNA processing (the use of PCR or RTQ-PCR techniques), and the gestational age of the fetus; earlier than 7 weeks test sensitivity was low, but rose to 94.8% (with specificity 98.9%) from 7-12 weeks.

Conclusion:

The best performance for testing was achieved using maternal blood and RTQ-PCR after the 20th week of pregnancy; testing using maternal urine or maternal blood before the 7th week of pregnancy was found to be unreliable, calling into question some commercial claims of high accuracy at 5-7 weeks. 

Our view:

The only other method of determining fetal sex is by ultrasound, which is unreliable before 11 weeks and not always successful after this point. Non-invasive testing therefore offers sex determination at least a month before current methods. This is very valuable for pregnancies at risk of a sex-linked genetic disease, so that fetuses not at risk by virtue of their sex can be spared the invasive testing currently required for diagnosis.

Further discussion:

The authors note the need for a large clinical trial to reliably validate test performance, and call for research to develop methods for confirming the presence of cell-free fetal DNA, which would ensure that negative test results for Y-chromosome sequences genuinely show that the fetus is female, excluding the possibility that the cell-free fetal DNA was not detected.

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